بررسی آثار سیاست خرید تضمینی بر بهره‌وری گندم (مطالعه موردی استان یزد)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه اقتصاد کشاورززی دانشگاه اردکان

2 گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه اردکان

3 گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه اردکان،

چکیده

موفقیت در افزایش تولید بخش کشاورزی نیازمند اجرای سیاست‌های درست و مدون جهت حمایت از تولیدکننده‌گان است. اجرای علمی سیاست‌های حمایتی نظیر تعیین خرید تضمینی برای محصول استراتژیک گندم می‌تواند اثرات مطلوبی بر تولید این محصول داشته باشد. با توجه به اهمیت این موضوع، هدف از پژوهش حاضر بررسی اثر سیاست خرید تضمینی بر بهره‌وری تولید گندم در استان یزد برای دوره زمانی 95-1368 بود. برای محاسبه بهره‌وری از شاخص مالم‌کوئیست و برای تحلیل سری زمانی از الگوی خودرگرسیون‌برداری استفاده شد. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که میزان بهره‌وری برای گندم نزدیک به یک است. همچنین میزان بهره‌وری به­همراه عملکرد گندم در کوتاه‌مدت رابطه مثبت و معنی‌داری با خرید تضمینی دارد، اما در بلندمدت تأثیر این سیاست کاهش می‌یابد. در نتیجه با توجه به آثار متفاوت خرید تضمینی بر بهره‌وری گندم، پیشنهاد می‌شود کیفیت اجرای این سیاست مورد بازبینی قرار گیرد و همچنان ادامه یابد.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the effects of guaranteed purchase policy on wheat productivity (A case study: Yazd province)

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mahsa jamalzadeh 1
  • Ahmad fatahi ardakani 2
  • akram neshat 3
1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture & Natural Resources, Ardakan University,
2 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture & Natural Resources, Ardakan University,
3 Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture & Natural Resources, Ardakan University,
چکیده [English]

Given the importance of the agricultural sector in food production and security, countries around the world are using various policies to support the agricultural sector. One of the food security clauses is the dependence on food imports, especially cereals. Due to the growth of production in the last three decades in Iran, it is still forced to import some agricultural products to meet domestic demand. Success in increasing agricultural production requires the implementation of correct and codified policies to support producers. With the scientific implementation of supportive policies such as setting a guaranteed price for a strategic wheat crop, it can have positive effects on the production of this crop. As a result, given the importance of the issue, The purpose of this study is to investigate the policy of guaranteed price on wheat productivity in Yazd province in the period 1368-1395 using It is an indicator of Malm Quest and a self-explanatory model. The results showed that wheat yield and yield in the short term have a positive and significant relationship with guaranteed price, but gradually and in the long run the effect of this policy will decrease. As a result, given the different effects of guaranteed price on wheat productivity, it is suggested that this policy be reconsidered and continued.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Productivity
  • Guaranteed Purchase
  • Wheat
  • Yazd
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